@Article{LemesOGFABBMSTGBB:2023:ImSoAm,
               author = "Lemes, Murilo da Costa and Oliveira, Gilvan Sampaio de and 
                         Garcia-Carreras, Luis and Fisch, Gilberto and Alves, Lincoln Muniz 
                         and Bassett, Richard and Betts, Richard and Maksic, Jelena and 
                         Shimizu, Mar{\'{\i}}lia Harumi and Torres, Roger Rodrigues and 
                         Guatura, Marcelo Barbosa da Silva and Basso, Luana Santamaria and 
                         Bispo, Polyanna da C.",
          affiliation = "{Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and {Instituto 
                         Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and {University of 
                         Manchester (UoM)} and {Universidade de Taubat{\'e} (UNITAU)} and 
                         {Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and {University 
                         of Manchester (UoM)} and {Met Office Hadley Centre} and {Instituto 
                         Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and {Instituto Nacional de 
                         Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and {Universidade Federal de 
                         Itajub{\'a} (UNIFEI)} and {Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas 
                         Espaciais (INPE)} and {Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais 
                         (INPE)} and {University of Manchester (UoM)}",
                title = "Impacts on South America moisture transport under Amazon 
                         deforestation and 2 °C global warming",
              journal = "Science of the Total Environment",
                 year = "2023",
               volume = "905",
                pages = "e167407",
                month = "Dec.",
             keywords = "Aerial Rivers, Climate modeling, Global warming, La Plata basin, 
                         Water budget.",
             abstract = "The increase in greenhouse gasses (GHG) anthropogenic emissions 
                         and deforestation over the last decades have led to many chemical 
                         and physical changes in the climate system, affecting the 
                         atmosphere's energy and water balance. A process that could be 
                         affected is the Amazonian moisture transport in the South American 
                         continent (including La Plata basin), which is crucial to the 
                         southeast Brazilian water regime. The focus of our research is on 
                         evaluating how local (i.e. Amazon deforestation) and global 
                         forcings (increase of atmospheric GHG concentration) may modify 
                         this moisture transport under climate change scenarios. We used 
                         two coupled land-atmosphere models forced by CMIP6 sea surface 
                         temperatures to simulate these processes for two scenarios: i) 
                         increase in carbon dioxide (CO2) RCP8.5 atmospheric levels 
                         (00DEF), and ii) total Amazon deforestation simultaneous with 
                         atmospheric CO2 levels increased (100DEF). These scenarios were 
                         compared with a control simulation, set with a constant CO2 of 388 
                         ppm and present-day Amazon Forest cover. The 30-year Specific 
                         Warming Level 2 (SWL2) index evaluated from the simulations is set 
                         to be reached 2 years earlier due to Amazon deforestation. A 
                         reduction in precipitation was observed in the Amazon basin 
                         (\−3.1 mm·day\−1) as well as in La Plata Basin 
                         (\−0.5 mm·day\−1) due to reductions in the Amazon 
                         evapotranspiration (\−0.9 mm·day\−1) through a 
                         stomatal conductance decrease (00DEF) and land cover change 
                         (100DEF). In addition, the income moisture transport decreased (22 
                         %) in the northern La Plata basin in both scenarios and model 
                         experiments. Our results indicated a worse scenario than 
                         previously found in the region. Both Amazon and La Plata 
                         hydrological regimes are connected (moisture and energy 
                         transport), indicating that a large-scale Amazon deforestation 
                         will have additional climate, economic and social implications for 
                         South America.",
                  doi = "10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.167407",
                  url = "http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.167407",
                 issn = "0048-9697",
             language = "en",
           targetfile = "1-s2.0-S0048969723060345-main.pdf",
        urlaccessdate = "09 maio 2024"
}